Description

This analysis provides a forecast of SAND prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-23 0.101986 0.119869 0.139859 0.163844 0.191833 0.223453 0.261879
2025-11-30 0.076232 0.099432 0.128060 0.165933 0.214677 0.275266 0.356278
2025-12-07 0.060073 0.084976 0.118162 0.165512 0.231235 0.319146 0.445607
2025-12-14 0.048140 0.072862 0.107984 0.161337 0.240167 0.352179 0.523291
2025-12-21 0.040460 0.064944 0.101708 0.160671 0.252609 0.390214 0.611546
2025-12-28 0.036042 0.060956 0.100253 0.166380 0.274517 0.443952 0.729134
2026-01-04 0.032712 0.058027 0.099784 0.173190 0.298529 0.503228 0.862187
2026-01-11 0.029483 0.054673 0.097994 0.177302 0.318248 0.557431 0.993045
2026-01-18 0.026193 0.050653 0.094405 0.177626 0.331194 0.601341 1.111120
2026-01-25 0.022573 0.045447 0.087934 0.171762 0.332112 0.624036 1.193847
2026-02-01 0.019315 0.040421 0.081065 0.164114 0.328525 0.637796 1.261215
2026-02-08 0.017192 0.037314 0.077406 0.162073 0.335185 0.670970 1.368569
2026-02-15 0.014897 0.033642 0.072399 0.157226 0.336835 0.696979 1.469964
2026-02-22 0.013603 0.031921 0.071173 0.160101 0.354837 0.757970 1.650722
2026-03-01 0.012211 0.029753 0.068675 0.159880 0.366258 0.806957 1.813029
2026-03-08 0.010726 0.027116 0.064748 0.155883 0.368815 0.837482 1.939559
2026-03-15 0.009670 0.025322 0.062453 0.155246 0.378771 0.885116 2.109761
2026-03-22 0.009116 0.024681 0.062756 0.160769 0.403734 0.969179 2.373314
2026-03-29 0.008669 0.024234 0.063460 0.167356 0.432105 1.064443 2.674942
2026-04-05 0.008119 0.023427 0.063145 0.171332 0.454577 1.148502 2.960181
2026-04-12 0.007448 0.022174 0.061504 0.171646 0.467820 1.211850 3.202376
2026-04-19 0.006590 0.020251 0.057813 0.165975 0.464739 1.234389 3.344465
2026-04-26 0.005767 0.018286 0.053713 0.158579 0.456018 1.241497 3.447520